Projects per year
Organisation profile
Organisation Profile
Environmental and Ecological Statistics
Integrating statistics with ecology and environmental sciences.
We aim to understand how ecological and environmental processes shape the world we live in. For this, we work in the interface of ecology and statistics. Our research interests span from statistical methods development to ecological research and environmental sciences. We also actively apply our research to more applied questions such as environmental management and risk assessment.
How do ecological and environmental processes shape the world we live in? How can we make solid inference and conclusions on these processes from data?
Our research can be broadly divided into two themes: 1) developing statistical methods for analysing ecological and environmental data and to support environmental management and decision-making and 2) ecological and environmental change research. There is a strong connection between these two main themes in all work we do.
Due to our role in the interface between ecology and statistics, we are affiliated to two Departments of the University of Helsinki: the Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Program at the Faculty of Biosciences and Environmental Sciences, and the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at the Faculty of Science. We are also part of the Research Centre for Ecological Change, a large consortium of ecological change researchers.
Fields of Science
- 112 Statistics and probability
- 1181 Ecology, evolutionary biology
- 1172 Environmental sciences
International and National Collaboration
Profiles
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Perttu Pauli Johannes Anttonen
- Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme - Postdoctoral Researcher
- Environmental and Ecological Statistics Group
Person: U2 Teaching and research staff
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Emy Paulette Guilbault
- Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme - Postdoctoral Researcher
- Environmental and Ecological Statistics Group
Person: U2 Teaching and research staff
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Karel Kaurila
- Environmental and Ecological Statistics Group
- Doctoral Programme in Mathematics and Statistics
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics - Visiting scholar
Person: Visiting scholar, Doctoral Researcher, UH
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Sammi Lai
- Environmental and Ecological Statistics Group
- Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme - Postdoctoral Researcher
Person: U2 Teaching and research staff
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Suvi Numminen
- Environmental and Ecological Statistics Group
- Doctoral Programme in Mathematics and Statistics - Supervisor for doctoral programme
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics - University Lecturer
Person: U3 Research and teaching staff, U2 Teaching and research staff
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Predective Understanding of the effects
Vanhatalo, J. (Project manager), Anttonen, P. P. J. (Participant), Koski, V. A. (Participant), Lai, S. (Participant), Pietilä, J. I. (Participant), Shubin, M. (Participant) & Vanko, M. (Participant)
01/05/2024 → 30/04/2029
Project: EU Horizon Europe: European Research Council (HORIZON-ERC)
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Centre of Excellence for Scenario-based Risk Management in Polar Waters
Vanhatalo, J. (Project manager), Kuikka, S. (Project manager) & Helle, I. (Participant)
01/01/2019 → 31/12/2021
Project: Research project
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Multivariate Gaussian processes for hierarchical modelling of species distributions
Vanhatalo, J. (Project manager), Kaurila, K. (Participant) & Numminen, S. (Participant)
Suomen Akatemia Projektilaskutus
01/09/2018 → 31/08/2022
Project: Research project
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Suomen rannikon kuormitusmallin kehittäminen ja epävarmuustarkastelut
Vanhatalo, J. (Project manager) & Kaurila, K. (Participant)
01/01/2017 → 31/12/2017
Project: Research project
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Applying species distribution modeling in marine spatial planning and fisheries management
Vanhatalo, J. (Project manager), Hartmann, M. (Participant), Liu, J. (Project manager) & Kaurila, K. (Participant)
01/10/2016 → 30/09/2018
Project: Research project
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Bayesian calibration and uncertainty quantification for a large nutrient load impact model
Kaurila, K., Lignell, R., Thingstad, F., Kuosa, H. & Vanhatalo, J., Mar 2025, In: Ecological Informatics. 85, 12 p., 102976.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
Open AccessFile -
Cross-taxa analysis of long-term data reveals a positive biodiversity-stability relationship with taxon-specific mechanistic underpinning
Rodrigues, A. V., Rissanen, T. K., Jones, M., Huikkonen, I.-M., Huitu, O., Korpimäki, E., Kuussaari, M., Lehikoinen, A., Linden, A., Pietiäinen, H., Pöyry, J., Sihvonen, P., Suuronen, A., Vuorio, K., Saastamoinen, M., Vanhatalo, J. & Laine, A.-L., Apr 2025, In: Ecology Letters. 28, 4, 12 p., e70003.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
Open AccessFile -
Detecting Subtle Change in Species and Trait Composition and Quantifying Its Uncertainty in a Boreal Peatland
Korrensalo, A., Kettunen, J., Mehtätalo, L., Vanhatalo, J. & Tuittila, E.-S., Mar 2025, In: Journal of Vegetation Science. 36, 2, 17 p., e70025.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
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Model-based variance partitioning for statistical ecology
Schulz, T., Saastamoinen, M. & Vanhatalo, J., Feb 2025, In: Ecological Monographs. 95, 1, 24 p., e1646.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
Open AccessFile -
Modeling how eutrophication in northern Baltic coastal zone is driven by new nutrient inputs, internal loading, and 3D hydrodynamics
Lignell, R., Miettunen, E., Kuosa, H., Ropponen, J., Tuomi, L., Puttonen, I., Lukkari, K., Korppoo, M., Huttunen, M., Kaurila, K., Vanhatalo, J. & Thingstad, F., May 2025, In: Journal of Marine Systems. 249, 21 p., 104049.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
Open AccessFile
Activities
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HMSC - Starting guidelines
Duplouy, A. (Chair), Guilbault, E. P. (Speaker: Presenter), Souza Beraldo, C. (Attendee), Sun, L. (Attendee), Gerard, S. (Attendee), Vanadzina, K. (Attendee), Grüneberger, M. (Attendee), Schach, J. (Attendee) & Yefimak, K. (Attendee)
9 Apr 2025Activity: Participating in or organising an event types › Organisation and participation in conferences, workshops, courses, seminars
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Viikki Postdoctoral Association (ViPA)
Mönttinen, H. (Chair of organizing committee), Guilbault, E. P. (Secretary of organizing committee), Valerio, F. (Member of organizing committee), Tsang, H. Y. (Member of organizing committee), Gounani, Z. (Member of organizing committee), Zare, M. (Member of organizing committee), Lynsdale, C. L. (Member of organizing committee) & Legehar, A. (Member of organizing committee)
2023Activity: Participating in or organising an event types › Organisation and participation in conferences, workshops, courses, seminars
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Oikos Finland 2023 Conference
Guilbault, E. P. (Chair of organizing committee), Antão, L. (Member of organizing committee), Lynsdale, C. L. (Member of organizing committee), Van Meyel, S. A. (Member of organizing committee), Marjakangas, E.-L. (Member of organizing committee), Rönkä, K. H. (Member of organizing committee), Hällfors, M. (Member of organizing committee), Oudendijk, Z. (Member of organizing committee), Loehr, J. (Member of organizing committee), Kullberg, P. (Member of organizing committee), Forsman, J. T. (Member of organizing committee), Mäkinen, J.A.-E. (Member of organizing committee), O'Sullivan, R. J. (Member of organizing committee), Winters, S. (Member of organizing committee), Kahilainen, A. (Member of organizing committee), Leinonen, T. (Member of organizing committee) & Johansson, H. (Member of organizing committee)
2023Activity: Participating in or organising an event types › Organisation and participation in conferences, workshops, courses, seminars
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Scientific Reports (Journal)
Schulz, T. (Reviewer)
Mar 2022Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work types › Peer review of manuscripts
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Methods in Ecology and Evolution (Journal)
Schulz, T. (Reviewer)
Oct 2022Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work types › Peer review of manuscripts
Press/Media
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Probability of ships of different Polar Ship Categories becoming beset in ice in Arctic waters
Vanhatalo, J. & Helle, I.
18/03/2021
1 item of Media coverage
Press/Media: Press / Media
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What is the probability of ships becoming beset in ice in Arctic waters?
Vanhatalo, J. & Helle, I.
18/03/2021
5 items of Media coverage
Press/Media: Press / Media
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What is probability of ships of different Polar Ship Categories becoming beset in ice in Arctic waters
Vanhatalo, J. & Helle, I.
17/03/2021
1 item of Media coverage
Press/Media: Press / Media