Projects per year
Organisation profile
Organisation Profile
Environmental and Ecological Statistics
Integrating statistics with ecology and environmental sciences.
We aim to understand how ecological and environmental processes shape the world we live in. For this, we work in the interface of ecology and statistics. Our research interests span from statistical methods development to ecological research and environmental sciences. We also actively apply our research to more applied questions such as environmental management and risk assessment.
How do ecological and environmental processes shape the world we live in? How can we make solid inference and conclusions on these processes from data?
Our research can be broadly divided into two themes: 1) developing statistical methods for analysing ecological and environmental data and to support environmental management and decision-making and 2) ecological and environmental change research. There is a strong connection between these two main themes in all work we do.
Due to our role in the interface between ecology and statistics, we are affiliated to two Departments of the University of Helsinki: the Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Program at the Faculty of Biosciences and Environmental Sciences, and the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at the Faculty of Science. We are also part of the Research Centre for Ecological Change, a large consortium of ecological change researchers.
Fields of Science
- 112 Statistics and probability
- 1181 Ecology, evolutionary biology
- 1172 Environmental sciences
Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
Profiles
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Perttu Pauli Johannes Anttonen
- Department of Organismal and Evolutionary Biology - Postdoctoral Researcher
- Environmental and Ecological Statistics Group
Person: U2 Teaching and research staff
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Piyumika Pamala Kumari Herath Samaraseka Herath Mudiyanselage
- Department of Organismal and Evolutionary Biology - Doctoral Researcher
- Doctoral Programme in Science
- Environmental and Ecological Statistics Group
Person: U1 Research and teaching staff, Doctoral Researcher
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Sammi Lai
- Department of Organismal and Evolutionary Biology - Postdoctoral Researcher
- Environmental and Ecological Statistics Group
Person: U2 Teaching and research staff
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Saku Ola Santeri Mäki-Ikola
- Department of Organismal and Evolutionary Biology - Doctoral Researcher
- Doctoral Programme in Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Sustainability in Society
- Environmental and Ecological Statistics Group
Person: U1 Research and teaching staff, Doctoral Researcher
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Suvi Numminen
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics - University Lecturer
- Environmental and Ecological Statistics Group
Person: U3 Research and teaching staff, U2 Teaching and research staff
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Stat4BioMo: Statistical models and monitoring designs to assess spatiotemporal dynamics of species
Numminen, S. (Project manager), Käpölä, P. P. P. (Participant) & Talo, I. J. (Participant)
01/01/2026 → 31/12/2029
Project: Research Council of Finland: Academy Project
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BEFPREDICT: Predictive Understanding of the effects of Global Change on Ecological Communities and Ecosystem Functions
Vanhatalo, J. (Project manager), Anttonen, P. P. J. (Participant), Herath Mudiyanselage, P. P. K. H. S. (Participant), Kallioinen, N. E. O. (Participant), Koski, V. A. (Participant), Lai, S. (Participant), Mouta, M. (Participant), Pia, I. (Participant), Pietilä, J. I. (Participant), Rondon Bautista, D. A. (Participant), Ruiz Moreno, A. (Participant), Shubin, M. (Participant), Talo, I. J. (Participant) & Vanko, M. (Participant)
01/05/2024 → 30/04/2029
Project: The European Research Council (ERC)
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Centre of Excellence for Scenario-based Risk Management in Polar Waters
Vanhatalo, J. (Project manager), Kuikka, S. (Project manager) & Helle, I. (Participant)
01/01/2019 → 31/12/2021
Project: Research project
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Multivariate Gaussian processes for hierarchical modelling of species distributions
Vanhatalo, J. (Project manager), Kaurila, K. (Participant) & Numminen, S. (Participant)
Suomen Akatemia Projektilaskutus
01/09/2018 → 31/08/2022
Project: Research project
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Suomen rannikon kuormitusmallin kehittäminen ja epävarmuustarkastelut
Vanhatalo, J. (Project manager) & Kaurila, K. (Participant)
01/01/2017 → 31/12/2017
Project: Research project
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A Lepidoptera Synthesis Phylogeny of 11,001 Species and Its Application in Phylogenetic Profiling of Herbivore DNA Barcodes: Towards an Integrative Phylogenetic Framework for Insects
Chesters, D., Wang, M., Anttonen, P. P. J., Chen, J., Cheng, R., Li, Y., Luo, A., Orr, M. C., Xie, T., Zhou, Q. & Zhu, C., 15 Jun 2026, In: Zoologica Scripta. 14 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
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Bayesian integrated population model of Baltic grey seals (Halichoerus grypus grypus) informs on population carrying capacity and the impact of Baltic herring (Clupea harengus membras) on reproduction
Vanko, M., Helle, I., Kunnasranta, M., Ahola, M. P., Bäcklin, B.-M., Carlsson, A. M., Cervin, L., Persson, S. & Vanhatalo, J., Sept 2026, In: Ecological Modelling. 519, 22 p., 111666.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
Open AccessFile -
Climate Warming Is Causing an Increasing Dominance of Smaller Moth Species
Ellis, E., Guilbault, E., Huikkonen, I.-M., Leinonen, R., Suuronen, A. & Roslin, T., 11 Aug 2026, In: Global Ecology and Biogeography. 35, 8, 13 p., e70294.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
Open AccessFile -
Community-level modelling of pelagic fish assemblages in the Baltic Sea reveals temporal shifts and effects of environmental drivers
Mobilia, V., Shubin, M., Goni, N. & Vanhatalo, J., Sept 2026, In: ICES Journal of Marine Science. 83, 9, 11 p., fsag166.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
Open AccessFile -
Comparative analysis of contemporary remote sensing techniques and species distribution modelling in predicting spatial distribution of coastal habitats
Forsblom, L., Jokinen, A.-P., Van der Zande, D., Azhar, M., Berov, D., Carstensen, J., Drakopoulou, V., Gerakaris, V., Gundersen, H., Kotta, J., Mobilia, V., Papadopoulou, N., Prodanov, B., Reizopoulou, S., Smith, C. J., Spinosa, A., Todorova, V., Staehr, P. A. U., Staehr, S. U. & Virtanen, E. A. & 1 others, , 1 Dec 2026, In: Remote Sensing of Environment. 346, 14 p., 115640.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review
Open AccessFile
Activities
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Norwegian University of Science and Technology
Vanhatalo, J. (Visiting researcher)
25 Nov 2025 → 29 Nov 2025Activity: Visiting an external institution types › Academic visit to other institution
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HMSC - Starting guidelines
Duplouy, A. (Chair), Guilbault, E. P. (Speaker: Presenter), Souza Beraldo, C. (Attendee), Sun, L. (Attendee), Gerard, S. (Attendee), Vanadzina, K. (Attendee), Grüneberger, M. (Attendee), Schach, J. (Attendee) & Yefimak, K. (Attendee)
9 Apr 2025Activity: Participating in or organising an event types › Organisation and participation in conferences, workshops, courses, seminars
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Viikki Postdoctoral Association (ViPA)
Mönttinen, H. (Chair of organizing committee), Guilbault, E. P. (Secretary of organizing committee), Valerio, F. (Member of organizing committee), Tsang, H. Y. (Member of organizing committee), Gounani, Z. (Member of organizing committee), Zare, M. (Member of organizing committee), Lynsdale, C. L. (Member of organizing committee) & Legehar, A. (Member of organizing committee)
2023 → 2025Activity: Participating in or organising an event types › Organisation and participation in conferences, workshops, courses, seminars
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Oikos Finland 2023 Conference
Guilbault, E. P. (Chair of organizing committee), Antão, L. (Member of organizing committee), Lynsdale, C. L. (Member of organizing committee), Van Meyel, S. A. (Member of organizing committee), Marjakangas, E.-L. (Member of organizing committee), Rönkä, K. H. (Member of organizing committee), Hällfors, M. (Member of organizing committee), Oudendijk, Z. (Member of organizing committee), Loehr, J. (Member of organizing committee), Kullberg, P. (Member of organizing committee), Forsman, J. T. (Member of organizing committee), Mäkinen, J.A.-E. (Member of organizing committee), O'Sullivan, R. J. (Member of organizing committee), Winters, S. (Member of organizing committee), Kahilainen, A. (Member of organizing committee), Leinonen, T. (Member of organizing committee) & Johansson, H. (Member of organizing committee)
2023Activity: Participating in or organising an event types › Organisation and participation in conferences, workshops, courses, seminars
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Ecological Indicators (Journal)
Schulz, T. (Reviewer)
Apr 2022Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work types › Peer review of manuscripts
Press/Media
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What is the probability of ships becoming beset in ice in Arctic waters?
Vanhatalo, J. & Helle, I.
18/03/2021
5 items of Media coverage
Press/Media: Press / Media
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Probability of ships of different Polar Ship Categories becoming beset in ice in Arctic waters
Vanhatalo, J. & Helle, I.
18/03/2021
1 item of Media coverage
Press/Media: Press / Media
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What is probability of ships of different Polar Ship Categories becoming beset in ice in Arctic waters
Vanhatalo, J. & Helle, I.
17/03/2021
1 item of Media coverage
Press/Media: Press / Media