Publications

2020

Additive multivariate Gaussian processes for joint species distribution modeling with heterogeneous data

Vanhatalo, J., Hartmann, M. & Veneranta, L., Jun 2020, In : Bayesian analysis. 15, 2, p. 415-447 33 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Bayesian model based spatiotemporal survey designs and partially observed log Gaussian Cox process

Liu, J. & Vanhatalo, J., Mar 2020, In : Spatial statistics. 35, 27 p., 100392.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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Bioregions in marine environments: Combining Biological and Environmental Data for Management and Scientific Understanding

Woolley, S., Bax, N., Currie, J., Dunn, D., Hansen, C., Hill, N., O'Hara, T., Ovaskainen, O., Sayre, R., Vanhatalo, J. & Dunstan, P., Jan 2020, In : BioScience. 70, 1, p. 48-59 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Impacts of oil spills on Arctic marine ecosystems: A quantitative and probabilistic risk assessment perspective

Helle, I., Mäkinen, J. A-E., Nevalainen, M. K., Afenyo, M. & Vanhatalo, J., 18 Feb 2020, In : Environmental Science & Technology. 54, 4, p. 2112-2121 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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The effects of climate change on Baltic salmon: Framing the problem in collaboration with expert stakeholders

La Mere, K. M., Mäntyniemi, S. & Haapasaari, P., 10 Oct 2020, In : Science of the Total Environment. 738, 18 p., 140068.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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The relative importance of local and regional processes to metapopulation dynamics

Dallas, T. A., Saastamoinen, M., Schulz, T. & Ovaskainen, O., Mar 2020, In : Journal of Animal Ecology. 89, 3, p. 884-896 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

The spread of a wild plant pathogen is driven by the road network

Numminen, E. & Laine, A-L., 31 Mar 2020, In : PLoS Computational Biology. 16, 3, 21 p., 1007703.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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2019

A comprehensive evaluation of predictive performance of 33 species distribution models at species and community levels

Norberg, A., Abrego Antia, N., Blanchet, F. G., Adler, F. R., Anderson, B. J., Anttila, J., Araújo, M. B., Dallas, T. A., Dunson, D., Elith, J., Foster, S., Fox, R., Franklin, J., Godsoe, W., Guisan, A., O'Hara, B., Hill, N. A., Holt, R. D., Hui, F. K. C., Husby, M. & 15 others, Kålås, J. A., Lehikoinen, A., Luoto, M., Mod, H. K., Newell, G., Renner, I., Roslin, T. V., Soininen, J., Thuiller, W., Vanhatalo, J. P., Warton, D., White, M., Zimmermann, N. E., Gravel, D. & Ovaskainen, O. T., Aug 2019, In : Ecological Monographs. 89, 3, 24 p., 01370.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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A Gaussian process model and Bayesian variable selection for mapping function-valued quantitative traits with incomplete phenotypic data

Vanhatalo, J., Li, Z. & Sillanpää, M. J., 1 Oct 2019, In : Bioinformatics. 35, 19, p. 3684–3692 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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A Mad Tea Party: Interdisciplinary Communication within Scientific Teams

La Mere, K. M., Lehikoinen, A., Toikka, A., Eronen, J. T. & Kuikka, S., 12 Sep 2019, (Submitted) In : One Earth.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Boreal tree growth exhibits decadal-scale ecological memory to drought and insect defoliation, but no negative response to their interaction

Itter, M. S., D'Orangeville, L., Dawson, A., Kneeshaw, D., Duchesne, L. & Finley, A. O., May 2019, In : Journal of Ecology. 107, 3, p. 1288-1301 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Calibrating expert assessments using hierarchical Gaussian process models

Perälä, T., Vanhatalo, J. & Chrysafi, A., 7 Nov 2019, In : Bayesian analysis. 30 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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EcoMem: An R package for quantifying ecological memory

Itter, M. S., Vanhatalo, J. & Finley, A. O., Sep 2019, In : Environmental Modelling & Software. 119, p. 305-308 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Effects of marker type and filtering criteria on QST-FST comparisons

Li, Z., Löytynoja, A., Fraimout, A. & Merilä, J., Nov 2019, In : Royal Society Open Science. 6, 11

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Index-based approach for estimating vulnerability of Arctic biota to oil spills

Nevalainen, M. K., Vanhatalo, J. & Helle, I., 18 Jun 2019, In : Ecosphere. 10, 6, 24 p., 02766.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Integrating experimental and distribution data to predict future species patterns

Kotta, J., Vanhatalo, J. P., Jänes, H., Orav-Kotta, H., Rugiu, L., Jormalainen, V., Bobsien, I., Viitasalo, M., Virtanen, E., Nyström Sandman, A., Isaeus, M., Leidenberger, S., Jonsson, P. R. & Johannesson, K., 12 Feb 2019, In : Scientific Reports. 9, 14 p., 1821.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Laplace approximation and natural gradient for Gaussian process regression with heteroscedastic Student-t model

Hartmann, M. & Vanhatalo, J., Jul 2019, In : Statistics and Computing. 29, 4, p. 753–773 21 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Non-stationary Gaussian models with physical barriers

Bakka, H., Vanhatalo, J., Illian, J. B., Simpson, D. & Rue, H., Mar 2019, In : Spatial statistics. 29, p. 268-288 21 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Perseverance and its companions

La Mere, K. M., 13 Sep 2019, (Submitted) Lessons in Leadership: Integrating courage, vision, and innovation for the future of sustainable fisheries.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterProfessional

Open Access
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Variable opportunities for outcrossing result in hotspots of novel genetic variation in a pathogen metapopulation

Laine, A-L., Barres, B., Numminen, E. & Siren, J. P., 18 Jun 2019, In : eLife. 8, 17 p., 47091.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Variation and correlations between sexual, asexual and natural enemy resistance life-history traits in a natural plant pathogen population

Numminen, E., Vaumourin, E., Parratt, S. R., Poulin, L. & Laine, A-L., 12 Jul 2019, In : BMC Evolutionary Biology. 19, 11 p., 142.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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2018

Correcting Boundary Over-Exploration Deficiencies In Bayesian Optimization With Virtual Derivative Sign Observations

Siivola, E., Vehtari, A., Vanhatalo, J., Gonzalez, J. & Andersen, M., Nov 2018, 2018 IEEE 28th International Workshop on Machine Learning for Signal Processing (MLSP). Pustelnik, N., Ma, Z., Tan, ZH. & Larsen, J. (eds.). IEEE, Vol. 28. 6 p. (IEEE International Workshop on Machine Learning for Signal Processing).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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Estimating the acute impacts of Arctic marine oil spills using expert elicitation

Nevalainen, M., Helle, I. & Vanhatalo, J., Jun 2018, In : Marine Pollution Bulletin. 131, p. 782-792 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Hierarchical Bayesian model reveals the distributional shifts of Arctic marine mammals

Mäkinen, J. & Vanhatalo, J., Oct 2018, In : Diversity and Distributions. 24, 10, p. 1381-1394 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Inferring dispersal across a fragmented landscape using reconstructed families in the Glanville fritillary butterfly

Fountain, T., Husby, A., Nonaka, E., DiLeo, M., Korhonen, J. H., Rastas, P., Schulz, T. M., Saastamoinen, M. A. K. & Hanski, I. A., Mar 2018, In : Evolutionary Applications. 11, 3, p. 287-297 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Predicting local ice loads on ship bow as a function of ice and operational conditions in the Southern Sea

Kotilainen, M., Vanhatalo, J., Suominen, M. & Kujala, P., 2 Apr 2018, In : Ship technology research. 65, 2, p. 87-101 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

2017

Bayesian inference for generalized extreme value distributions via Hamiltonian Monte Carlo

Hartmann, M. & Ehlers, R. S., 2017, In : Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation. 46, 7, p. 5285-5302 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Ecological and genetic basis of metapopulation persistence of the Glanville fritillary butterfly in fragmented landscapes

Hanski, I., Schulz, T., Wong, S. C., Ahola, V., Ruokolainen, A. & Ojanen, S. P., 17 Feb 2017, In : Nature Communications. 8, 11 p., 14504.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Gaussian processs framework for temporal dependence and discrepancy functions in Ricker-type population growth models

Hartmann, M., Hosack, G. R., Hillary, R. M. & Vanhatalo, J. P., Sep 2017, In : Annals of Applied Statistics. 11, 3, p. 1375-1402 28 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Impacts of eutrophication and oil spills on the Gulf of Finland herring stock

Rahikainen, M. K., Hoviniemi, K-M., Mäntyniemi, S. H. P., Vanhatalo, J. P., Helle, S. I., Lehtiniemi, M., Pönni, J. & Kuikka, O. S., 2017, In : Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 74, 8, p. 1218-1232 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Modeling the spatial distribution of larval fish abundance provides essential information for management

Kallasvuo, M., Vanhatalo, J. & Veneranta, L., May 2017, In : Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 74, 5, p. 636-649 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Predicting ice-induced load amplitudes on ship bow conditional on ice thickness and ship speed in the Baltic Sea

Kotilainen, M., Vanhatalo, J. P., Suominen, M. & Kujala, P., Mar 2017, In : Cold Regions Science and Technology. 135, p. 116–126 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Preparing for the unprecedented - Towards quantitative oil risk assessment in the Arctic marine areas

Nevalainen, M., Helle, I. & Vanhatalo, J., 15 Jan 2017, In : Marine Pollution Bulletin. 114, 1, p. 90-101 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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Spatiotemporal modelling of crown-of-thorns starfish outbreaks on the Great Barrier Reef to inform control strategies

Vanhatalo, J. P., Hosack, G. & Sweatman, H., Jan 2017, In : Journal of Applied Ecology. 54, 1, p. 188-197

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
2016

Detailed temperature mapping-Warming characterizes archipelago zones

Veneranta, L., Vanhatalo, J. & Urho, L., 5 Dec 2016, In : Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science. 182, p. 123-135 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Downscaling and extrapolating dynamic seasonal marine forecasts for coastal ocean users

Vanhatalo, J. P., Hobday, A. J., Little, L. R. & Spillman, C. M., Apr 2016, In : Ocean Modelling. 100, p. 20-30 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Hydrographic responses to regional covariates across the Kara Sea

Mäkinen, J. A-E. & Vanhatalo, J. P., Dec 2016, In : Journal of Geophysical Research : Oceans. 121, 12, p. 8872-8887 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Karanmeren ravintoverkot - hajanaista tietoa ja valikoituja veikkauksia

Nevalainen, M. K., 2016, In : Natura. 53, 2, p. 40-42 3 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleProfessional

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2015

Education of maritime doctoral students as part of international university network

Kujala, P., Veitch, B., Ehlers, S., Leira, B., Khan, F. & Vanhatalo, J., 10 Dec 2015, International Conference on Education and Professional Development of Engineers in the Maritime Industry 2015. London: The Royal Institution of Naval Architects, p. 59-65 7 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionScientific

General state-space population dynamics model for Bayesian stock assessment

Mäntyniemi, S. H. P., Whitlock, R. E., Perälä, T. A., Blomstedt, P. A., Vanhatalo, J. P., Rincón, M. M., Kuparinen, A. K., Pulkkinen, H. P. & Kuikka, O. S., 7 Aug 2015, In : ICES Journal of Marine Science. 72, 8, p. 2209-2222 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

2014

By-Catch of Grey Seals (Halichoerus grypus) in Baltic Fisheries-A Bayesian Analysis of Interview Survey

Vanhatalo, J., Vetemaa, M., Herrero, A., Aho, T. & Tiilikainen, R., 2014, In : PLoS One. 9, 11, 16 p., 113836.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Experiences in Bayesian Inference in Baltic Salmon Management

Kuikka, S., Vanhatalo, J., Mäntyniemi, S., Pulkkinen, H. & Corander, J., May 2014, In : Statistical Science. 29, 1, p. 42-49

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Scenario based risk management for arctic shipping and operations

Ehlers, S., Kujula, P., Veitch, B., Khan, F. & Vanhatalo, J., 8 Jun 2014, ASME 2014 33rd International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering: Polar and Arctic Science and Technology. California, USA: American Society of Mechanical Engineers, Vol. 10. 8 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionScientificpeer-review