Impacts of eutrophication and oil spills on the Gulf of Finland herring stock

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Abstract

The Baltic Sea is one of the world's most stressed sea areas. Major threats to the ecosystem include eutrophication and oil spills. The progression of anthropogenic nutrient enrichment is lengthy and gradual, while oil spills cause rapid changes in the system, with varying impact time. We quantify the impact of eutrophication and the key ecological covariates on the population dynamics of the major pelagic fish stock, the Baltic herring (Clupea harengus membras), in the Gulf of Finland. The full life cycle of herring is represented with a probabilistic state-space model. Moreover, we analyse the impact of the oil spill from M/T Antonio Gramsci in 1987 on herring survival. The results confirm impact of the spill on the early life-stage survival; the observed high frequency of malformed herring larvae in surveys signaled elevated mortality of the year class. The optimal July-August chlorophyll a concentration for herring reproduction is approximately 5 mu g.L-1. This level is currently exceeded, suggesting recruitment impairment due to eutrophication. The herring stock was also recruitment-overfished. Analysis suggests deceleration of herring growth as salinity descends below 6 psu.
Original languageEnglish
JournalCanadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
Volume74
Issue number8
Pages (from-to)1218-1232
Number of pages15
ISSN0706-652X
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2017
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

Fields of Science

  • 1172 Environmental sciences

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