SCENARIO-BASED RISK MANAGEMENT for ARCTIC WATERS

Martin Bergström; Thomas Browne; Sören Ehlers; Inari Helle; Hauke Herrnring; Faisal Khan; Jan Kubiczek; Pentti Kujala; Mihkel Kõrgesaar; Bernt Johan Leira; Tuuli Parviainen; Arttu Polojärvi; Mikko Suominen; Rocky Taylor; Jukka Tuhkuri; Jarno Vanhatalo; Brian Veitch

doi:10.1115/OMAE2022-80767

SCENARIO-BASED RISK MANAGEMENT for ARCTIC WATERS

Martin Bergström, Thomas Browne, Sören Ehlers, Inari Helle, Hauke Herrnring, Faisal Khan, Jan Kubiczek, Pentti Kujala, Mihkel Kõrgesaar, Bernt Johan Leira, Tuuli Parviainen, Arttu Polojärvi, Mikko Suominen, Rocky Taylor, Jukka Tuhkuri, Jarno Vanhatalo, Brian Veitch

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › Scientific › peer-review

Abstract

Arctic shipping is growing driven by a demand for natural resources, climate change, and technological development, among other factors. While this provides many benefits for society, it also entails risks for people, the environment, and property. The purpose of this article is to assist ship designers, operators, owners, and other stakeholders in managing those risks by defining a comprehensive approach to scenario-based risk management for Arctic waters. The approach covers both the management of short-Term operational risks, as well as of risks related to a ship's long-Term extreme (design) ice loads and structural response. For operational risk management, a further developed version of the established Polar Operational Limitations Assessment Risk Indexing System (POLARIS) method is defined. In contrast to the established method, the further developed version considers the consequences of potential accidental events. For managing risks related to a ship?s long-Term extreme ice loads and structural response, guidelines are provided for the application of existing methods of assessing ice loads, including analytical, numerical, and semiempirical methods. In addition, to support the design of ice class ship structures, a new approach based on closed-form expressions is defined that can be used in the conceptual design phase to determine preliminary scantlings of primary hull structural members (e.g., transverse web frames).

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Polar and Arctic Sciences and Technology
Publisher	American Society of Mechanical Engineers(ASME)
Publication date	Oct 2022
Article number	V006T07A004
ISBN (Electronic)	978-0-7918-8591-8
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1115/OMAE2022-80767
Publication status	Published - Oct 2022
MoE publication type	A4 Article in conference proceedings
Event	ASME 2022 41st International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering, OMAE 2022 - Hamburg, Germany Duration: 5 Jun 2022 → 10 Jun 2022

Publication series

Name	Proceedings of the International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering - OMAE
Volume	6

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
The financial support of the Lloyd’s Register Foundation is acknowledged with gratitude. Lloyd’s Register Foundation helps to protect life and property by supporting engineering-related education, public engagement and the application of research (grant number GA\100077). The authors acknowledge the National Research Council of Canada’s Ocean, Coastal, and River Engineer Research Centre for supporting this study.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 by ASME.

Fields of Science

Arctic ship evacuation
Arctic shipping
Arctic ships
Consequence modelling
Environmental protection
Ice class
Ice loads
Risk management
Safety
1172 Environmental sciences

Access to Document

10.1115/OMAE2022-80767Licence: Unspecified

Cite this

Bergström, M., Browne, T., Ehlers, S., Helle, I., Herrnring, H., Khan, F., Kubiczek, J., Kujala, P., Kõrgesaar, M., Leira, B. J., Parviainen, T., Polojärvi, A., Suominen, M., Taylor, R., Tuhkuri, J., Vanhatalo, J., & Veitch, B. (2022). SCENARIO-BASED RISK MANAGEMENT for ARCTIC WATERS. In Polar and Arctic Sciences and Technology Article V006T07A004 (Proceedings of the International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering - OMAE; Vol. 6). American Society of Mechanical Engineers(ASME). https://doi.org/10.1115/OMAE2022-80767

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title = "SCENARIO-BASED RISK MANAGEMENT for ARCTIC WATERS",

abstract = "Arctic shipping is growing driven by a demand for natural resources, climate change, and technological development, among other factors. While this provides many benefits for society, it also entails risks for people, the environment, and property. The purpose of this article is to assist ship designers, operators, owners, and other stakeholders in managing those risks by defining a comprehensive approach to scenario-based risk management for Arctic waters. The approach covers both the management of short-Term operational risks, as well as of risks related to a ship's long-Term extreme (design) ice loads and structural response. For operational risk management, a further developed version of the established Polar Operational Limitations Assessment Risk Indexing System (POLARIS) method is defined. In contrast to the established method, the further developed version considers the consequences of potential accidental events. For managing risks related to a ship?s long-Term extreme ice loads and structural response, guidelines are provided for the application of existing methods of assessing ice loads, including analytical, numerical, and semiempirical methods. In addition, to support the design of ice class ship structures, a new approach based on closed-form expressions is defined that can be used in the conceptual design phase to determine preliminary scantlings of primary hull structural members (e.g., transverse web frames).",

keywords = "Arctic ship evacuation, Arctic shipping, Arctic ships, Consequence modelling, Environmental protection, Ice class, Ice loads, Risk management, Safety, 1172 Environmental sciences",

author = "Martin Bergstr{\"o}m and Thomas Browne and S{\"o}ren Ehlers and Inari Helle and Hauke Herrnring and Faisal Khan and Jan Kubiczek and Pentti Kujala and Mihkel K{\~o}rgesaar and Leira, {Bernt Johan} and Tuuli Parviainen and Arttu Poloj{\"a}rvi and Mikko Suominen and Rocky Taylor and Jukka Tuhkuri and Jarno Vanhatalo and Brian Veitch",

note = "Funding Information: The financial support of the Lloyd{\textquoteright}s Register Foundation is acknowledged with gratitude. Lloyd{\textquoteright}s Register Foundation helps to protect life and property by supporting engineering-related education, public engagement and the application of research (grant number GA\100077). The authors acknowledge the National Research Council of Canada{\textquoteright}s Ocean, Coastal, and River Engineer Research Centre for supporting this study. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2022 by ASME.; ASME 2022 41st International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering, OMAE 2022 ; Conference date: 05-06-2022 Through 10-06-2022",

year = "2022",

month = oct,

doi = "10.1115/OMAE2022-80767",

language = "English",

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publisher = "American Society of Mechanical Engineers(ASME)",

booktitle = "Polar and Arctic Sciences and Technology",

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Bergström, M, Browne, T, Ehlers, S, Helle, I, Herrnring, H, Khan, F, Kubiczek, J, Kujala, P, Kõrgesaar, M, Leira, BJ, Parviainen, T, Polojärvi, A, Suominen, M, Taylor, R, Tuhkuri, J, Vanhatalo, J & Veitch, B 2022, SCENARIO-BASED RISK MANAGEMENT for ARCTIC WATERS. in Polar and Arctic Sciences and Technology., V006T07A004, Proceedings of the International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering - OMAE, vol. 6, American Society of Mechanical Engineers(ASME), ASME 2022 41st International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering, OMAE 2022, Hamburg, Germany, 05/06/2022. https://doi.org/10.1115/OMAE2022-80767

SCENARIO-BASED RISK MANAGEMENT for ARCTIC WATERS. / Bergström, Martin; Browne, Thomas; Ehlers, Sören et al.
Polar and Arctic Sciences and Technology. American Society of Mechanical Engineers(ASME), 2022. V006T07A004 (Proceedings of the International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering - OMAE; Vol. 6).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › Scientific › peer-review

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AU - Bergström, Martin

AU - Browne, Thomas

AU - Ehlers, Sören

AU - Helle, Inari

AU - Herrnring, Hauke

AU - Khan, Faisal

AU - Kubiczek, Jan

AU - Kujala, Pentti

AU - Kõrgesaar, Mihkel

AU - Leira, Bernt Johan

AU - Parviainen, Tuuli

AU - Polojärvi, Arttu

AU - Suominen, Mikko

AU - Taylor, Rocky

AU - Tuhkuri, Jukka

AU - Vanhatalo, Jarno

AU - Veitch, Brian

N1 - Funding Information: The financial support of the Lloyd’s Register Foundation is acknowledged with gratitude. Lloyd’s Register Foundation helps to protect life and property by supporting engineering-related education, public engagement and the application of research (grant number GA\100077). The authors acknowledge the National Research Council of Canada’s Ocean, Coastal, and River Engineer Research Centre for supporting this study. Publisher Copyright: © 2022 by ASME.

PY - 2022/10

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N2 - Arctic shipping is growing driven by a demand for natural resources, climate change, and technological development, among other factors. While this provides many benefits for society, it also entails risks for people, the environment, and property. The purpose of this article is to assist ship designers, operators, owners, and other stakeholders in managing those risks by defining a comprehensive approach to scenario-based risk management for Arctic waters. The approach covers both the management of short-Term operational risks, as well as of risks related to a ship's long-Term extreme (design) ice loads and structural response. For operational risk management, a further developed version of the established Polar Operational Limitations Assessment Risk Indexing System (POLARIS) method is defined. In contrast to the established method, the further developed version considers the consequences of potential accidental events. For managing risks related to a ship?s long-Term extreme ice loads and structural response, guidelines are provided for the application of existing methods of assessing ice loads, including analytical, numerical, and semiempirical methods. In addition, to support the design of ice class ship structures, a new approach based on closed-form expressions is defined that can be used in the conceptual design phase to determine preliminary scantlings of primary hull structural members (e.g., transverse web frames).

AB - Arctic shipping is growing driven by a demand for natural resources, climate change, and technological development, among other factors. While this provides many benefits for society, it also entails risks for people, the environment, and property. The purpose of this article is to assist ship designers, operators, owners, and other stakeholders in managing those risks by defining a comprehensive approach to scenario-based risk management for Arctic waters. The approach covers both the management of short-Term operational risks, as well as of risks related to a ship's long-Term extreme (design) ice loads and structural response. For operational risk management, a further developed version of the established Polar Operational Limitations Assessment Risk Indexing System (POLARIS) method is defined. In contrast to the established method, the further developed version considers the consequences of potential accidental events. For managing risks related to a ship?s long-Term extreme ice loads and structural response, guidelines are provided for the application of existing methods of assessing ice loads, including analytical, numerical, and semiempirical methods. In addition, to support the design of ice class ship structures, a new approach based on closed-form expressions is defined that can be used in the conceptual design phase to determine preliminary scantlings of primary hull structural members (e.g., transverse web frames).

KW - Arctic ship evacuation

KW - Arctic shipping

KW - Arctic ships

KW - Consequence modelling

KW - Environmental protection

KW - Ice class

KW - Ice loads

KW - Risk management

KW - Safety

KW - 1172 Environmental sciences

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U2 - 10.1115/OMAE2022-80767

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M3 - Conference contribution

AN - SCOPUS:85140918067

T3 - Proceedings of the International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering - OMAE

BT - Polar and Arctic Sciences and Technology

PB - American Society of Mechanical Engineers(ASME)

T2 - ASME 2022 41st International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering, OMAE 2022

Y2 - 5 June 2022 through 10 June 2022

ER -

SCENARIO-BASED RISK MANAGEMENT for ARCTIC WATERS

Abstract

Publication series

Bibliographical note

Fields of Science

Access to Document

Other files and links

Centre of Excellence for Scenario-based Risk Management in Polar Waters

Cite this

SCENARIO-BASED RISK MANAGEMENT for ARCTIC WATERS

Abstract

Publication series

Bibliographical note

Fields of Science

Access to Document

Other files and links

Projects

Centre of Excellence for Scenario-based Risk Management in Polar Waters

Cite this