Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY)

Ludovic Fülöp, Vilho Jussila, Riina Aapasuo, Tommi Antton Tapani Vuorinen, Päivi Birgitta Mäntyniemi

Tutkimustuotos: Artikkeli kirjassa/raportissa/konferenssijulkaisussaKirjan luku tai artikkeliTieteellinen

Kuvaus

Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY) project was targeted at proposing an updated ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) for probabilistic seismic- hazard analyses of Finnish nuclear installations. We collected and archived the available recordings of earthquakes in Fennoscandia and created a database with all spectral components important for engineering evaluation.
For developing the GMPE, we used the backbone curves of the G16 equation proposed by Graizer (2016) for central and eastern North America. We adjusted the peak ground acceleration (PGA) prediction of G16 to cover lower magni-tudes and very hard-rock conditions of Fennoscandia, but keep it unchanged for magnitudes above Mw4. We adjust the normalized spectral shape prediction of G16 using combined Fennoscandian and NGA-East data for very hard rock.
We evaluated the mean prediction and error using the calibration data, and compared the adjusted GMPE to the subset of hard-rock recordings from the NGA-East database. We used a set of synthetic ground motions created using a hybrid modeling method to confirm the prediction in the near field.
We conclude that the adjusted G16 formulation is adequate for predicting ground motions in Fennoscandia. Due to the compatibility with the original G16 backbone curve and additional comparisons, we estimate that the validity of the proposed formulation is up to the range of 2.0≤Mw≤6.5 and 0≤Rrup≤300km for the hard-rock conditions.
Alkuperäiskielienglanti
OtsikkoSAFIR2018 - The Finnish Research Programme on Nuclear power Plant Safety 2015-2018 : Final report
ToimittajatJari Hämäläinen, Vesa Suolanen
Sivumäärä12
VuosikertaT349
KustantajaVTT Technical Research Centre of Finland
Julkaisupäivä2019
Sivut422-433
Artikkeli no6.7
ISBN (elektroninen)978-951-38-8682-0
DOI - pysyväislinkit
TilaJulkaistu - 2019
OKM-julkaisutyyppiB2 Kirjan tai muun kokoomateoksen osa

Julkaisusarja

NimiVTT Technical
KustantajaVTT
Numero349
ISSN (painettu)2242-1211
ISSN (elektroninen)2242-122X

Lisätietoja

DOI: 10.32040/2242-122X.2019.T349

Tieteenalat

  • 1171 Geotieteet

Lainaa tätä

Fülöp, L., Jussila, V., Aapasuo, R., Vuorinen, T. A. T., & Mäntyniemi, P. B. (2019). Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY). teoksessa J. Hämäläinen, & V. Suolanen (Toimittajat), SAFIR2018 - The Finnish Research Programme on Nuclear power Plant Safety 2015-2018: Final report (Vuosikerta T349, Sivut 422-433). [6.7] (VTT Technical; Nro 349). VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland. https://doi.org/10.32040/2242-122X.2019.T349
Fülöp, Ludovic ; Jussila, Vilho ; Aapasuo, Riina ; Vuorinen, Tommi Antton Tapani ; Mäntyniemi, Päivi Birgitta. / Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY). SAFIR2018 - The Finnish Research Programme on Nuclear power Plant Safety 2015-2018: Final report. Toimittaja / Jari Hämäläinen ; Vesa Suolanen. Vuosikerta T349 VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, 2019. Sivut 422-433 (VTT Technical; 349).
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abstract = "Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY) project was targeted at proposing an updated ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) for probabilistic seismic- hazard analyses of Finnish nuclear installations. We collected and archived the available recordings of earthquakes in Fennoscandia and created a database with all spectral components important for engineering evaluation. For developing the GMPE, we used the backbone curves of the G16 equation proposed by Graizer (2016) for central and eastern North America. We adjusted the peak ground acceleration (PGA) prediction of G16 to cover lower magnitudes and very hard-rock conditions of Fennoscandia, but keep it unchanged for magnitudes above Mw4. We adjust the normalized spectral shape prediction of G16 using combined Fennoscandian and NGA-East data for very hard rock.We evaluated the mean prediction and error using the calibration data, and compared the adjusted GMPE to the subset of hard-rock recordings from the NGA-East database. We used a set of synthetic ground motions created using a hybrid modeling method to confirm the prediction in the near field. We conclude that the adjusted G16 formulation is adequate for predicting ground motions in Fennoscandia. Due to the compatibility with the original G16 backbone curve and additional comparisons, we estimate that the validity of the proposed formulation is up to the range of 2.0≤Mw≤6.5 and 0≤Rrup≤300km for the hard-rock conditions",
keywords = "1171 Geosciences",
author = "Ludovic F{\"u}l{\"o}p and Vilho Jussila and Riina Aapasuo and Vuorinen, {Tommi Antton Tapani} and M{\"a}ntyniemi, {P{\"a}ivi Birgitta}",
note = "DOI: 10.32040/2242-122X.2019.T349",
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doi = "10.32040/2242-122X.2019.T349",
language = "English",
volume = "T349",
series = "VTT Technical",
publisher = "VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland",
number = "349",
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editor = "Jari H{\"a}m{\"a}l{\"a}inen and Vesa Suolanen",
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Fülöp, L, Jussila, V, Aapasuo, R, Vuorinen, TAT & Mäntyniemi, PB 2019, Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY). julkaisussa J Hämäläinen & V Suolanen (toim), SAFIR2018 - The Finnish Research Programme on Nuclear power Plant Safety 2015-2018: Final report. Vuosikerta T349, 6.7, VTT Technical, Nro 349, VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, Sivut 422-433. https://doi.org/10.32040/2242-122X.2019.T349

Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY). / Fülöp, Ludovic; Jussila, Vilho; Aapasuo, Riina ; Vuorinen, Tommi Antton Tapani; Mäntyniemi, Päivi Birgitta.

SAFIR2018 - The Finnish Research Programme on Nuclear power Plant Safety 2015-2018: Final report. toim. / Jari Hämäläinen; Vesa Suolanen. Vuosikerta T349 VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, 2019. s. 422-433 6.7 (VTT Technical; Nro 349).

Tutkimustuotos: Artikkeli kirjassa/raportissa/konferenssijulkaisussaKirjan luku tai artikkeliTieteellinen

TY - CHAP

T1 - Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY)

AU - Fülöp, Ludovic

AU - Jussila, Vilho

AU - Aapasuo, Riina

AU - Vuorinen, Tommi Antton Tapani

AU - Mäntyniemi, Päivi Birgitta

N1 - DOI: 10.32040/2242-122X.2019.T349

PY - 2019

Y1 - 2019

N2 - Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY) project was targeted at proposing an updated ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) for probabilistic seismic- hazard analyses of Finnish nuclear installations. We collected and archived the available recordings of earthquakes in Fennoscandia and created a database with all spectral components important for engineering evaluation. For developing the GMPE, we used the backbone curves of the G16 equation proposed by Graizer (2016) for central and eastern North America. We adjusted the peak ground acceleration (PGA) prediction of G16 to cover lower magnitudes and very hard-rock conditions of Fennoscandia, but keep it unchanged for magnitudes above Mw4. We adjust the normalized spectral shape prediction of G16 using combined Fennoscandian and NGA-East data for very hard rock.We evaluated the mean prediction and error using the calibration data, and compared the adjusted GMPE to the subset of hard-rock recordings from the NGA-East database. We used a set of synthetic ground motions created using a hybrid modeling method to confirm the prediction in the near field. We conclude that the adjusted G16 formulation is adequate for predicting ground motions in Fennoscandia. Due to the compatibility with the original G16 backbone curve and additional comparisons, we estimate that the validity of the proposed formulation is up to the range of 2.0≤Mw≤6.5 and 0≤Rrup≤300km for the hard-rock conditions

AB - Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY) project was targeted at proposing an updated ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) for probabilistic seismic- hazard analyses of Finnish nuclear installations. We collected and archived the available recordings of earthquakes in Fennoscandia and created a database with all spectral components important for engineering evaluation. For developing the GMPE, we used the backbone curves of the G16 equation proposed by Graizer (2016) for central and eastern North America. We adjusted the peak ground acceleration (PGA) prediction of G16 to cover lower magnitudes and very hard-rock conditions of Fennoscandia, but keep it unchanged for magnitudes above Mw4. We adjust the normalized spectral shape prediction of G16 using combined Fennoscandian and NGA-East data for very hard rock.We evaluated the mean prediction and error using the calibration data, and compared the adjusted GMPE to the subset of hard-rock recordings from the NGA-East database. We used a set of synthetic ground motions created using a hybrid modeling method to confirm the prediction in the near field. We conclude that the adjusted G16 formulation is adequate for predicting ground motions in Fennoscandia. Due to the compatibility with the original G16 backbone curve and additional comparisons, we estimate that the validity of the proposed formulation is up to the range of 2.0≤Mw≤6.5 and 0≤Rrup≤300km for the hard-rock conditions

KW - 1171 Geosciences

U2 - 10.32040/2242-122X.2019.T349

DO - 10.32040/2242-122X.2019.T349

M3 - Chapter

VL - T349

T3 - VTT Technical

SP - 422

EP - 433

BT - SAFIR2018 - The Finnish Research Programme on Nuclear power Plant Safety 2015-2018

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PB - VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland

ER -

Fülöp L, Jussila V, Aapasuo R, Vuorinen TAT, Mäntyniemi PB. Evolving the Fennoscandian GMPEs (EVOGY). julkaisussa Hämäläinen J, Suolanen V, toimittajat, SAFIR2018 - The Finnish Research Programme on Nuclear power Plant Safety 2015-2018: Final report. Vuosikerta T349. VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland. 2019. s. 422-433. 6.7. (VTT Technical; 349). https://doi.org/10.32040/2242-122X.2019.T349