Macroeconomic and Welfare Effects of the CAP Reform and Further Decoupling of Agricultural Support in Finland: A CGE Modelling Approach

Julkaisun otsikon käännös: Suomen CAP-reformin ja maataloustukien edelleen tuotannon määrästä irroittamisen makro- ja hyvinvointivaikutukset: CGE-mallinnus lähestymistapa

Hannu Kalevi Törmä, Heikki Lehtonen

    Tutkimustuotos: ArtikkelijulkaisuArtikkeliTieteellinenvertaisarvioitu

    Abstrakti

    We evaluate the overall economic effects of decoupled agricultural payments in Finland. The EU Common Agricultural
    Policy reform implemented in 2006 means shifting farm subsidies from production output and capital to farmland. Since
    decoupling seems to be a prominent trend in agricultural policy, we also simulate a case in which some national subsidies are
    decoupled from production as well. The decoupled support is tied equally to the hectares of arable land owned by farmers,
    other entrepreneurs, white and blue collar workers, pensioners and other households. This study takes the ownership
    structure of farmland between these household groups explicitly into account. We evaluate the overall impact of these
    changes on agricultural production, income and the welfare of various households. The computable general equilibrium
    GemRur simulation model of Finland is our working tool. We find that decoupling farm payments from production,
    especially if extended to national subsidies, will increase agricultural and food prices and decrease agricultural and food
    production. The decoupling has the greatest impact on the income and welfare of farmers. The impacts on other households
    and sectors are clearly smaller but not negligible.
    Alkuperäiskielienglanti
    LehtiActa agriculturae Scandinavica. Section C, Food Economics
    Vuosikerta6
    Numero2
    Sivut73-87
    Sivumäärä15
    ISSN1650-7541
    DOI - pysyväislinkit
    TilaJulkaistu - 2009
    OKM-julkaisutyyppiA1 Alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä aikakauslehdessä, vertaisarvioitu

    Tieteenalat

    • 411 Maatalous ja metsätieteet
    • CAP-reformi
    • maataloustuki
    • 511 Kansantaloustiede
    • CGE-mallinnus
    • numeerinen simulointi

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